THERAPEUTIC FACILITY NEEDS ASSESSMENT

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Rochelle Callis CRPD Therapeutic Recreation Program Final Report and Recommendations September 8, 2017 page 16 Forecasts for 2020 and Beyond The increase in incidence of disability from 2010 to 2015 was just less than 1%. If we assume a similar rate of growth, in 2020 we will see another 1% increase, in 2025, another 1% increase (now up to 2%), and by 2030, another 1% increase for a total increase in ten years of 3%. That is in itself significant. We believe the incidence of growth will be greater than this, at close to 1% every five years. In some groups, we believe the rate of growth will exceed 1% every five years. This is due to many of the factors discussed earlier in this report. Here is our 2030 forecost: AGE GROSS POP DISABILITY # DISABILITY ,% Under age 5 5,840 130 2.23% 5 to 17 24,162 1,192 4.93% 18 to 34 24,676 1,149 4.66% 35 to 64 56,078 3,882 6.92% 65 to 74 12,066 2,126 17.62% 75 and older 9,122 4,423 48.49% TOTAL 131,944 12,771 9.7% CVUSD The Conejo Valley Unified School District (CVUSD) provides educational services for children in the Conejo Valley. We have asked for demographic data from the school district and have not received a reply to date. It is important to have a close working relationship with CVUSD. The Therapeutic Recreation Program does have such a relationship with individual teachers and staffs. Tri -Counties Regional Center The Tri -Counties Regional Center (TCRC) serves the residents of Ventura, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Barbara Counties. The California Lanterman Act resulted in the creation of 21 Regional Centers. These centers provide person and family centered supports for persons with developmental disabilities. This statewide system is unique to California. Regional Centers are facilitators and coordinators, but also provide some important services. TCRC provides advocacy, referrals, coordination, behavioral supports, day programs, family supports, early start programs, and transportation, just to name a few. TCRC, like the other Regional Centers, works with families to create Individual Program Plans (IPP) that describe the details of services provided to persons with developmental disabilities. TCRC is the Regional Center that serves Conejo Valley. For information purposes only, TCRC reports on its website that it serves 12,800 individuals with developmental disabilities in the three counties. It THE W -T GRO, V DBA RECREATION ACCESSIBILITY CONSULT _C ONE SOURCE. INFINITE SOLUTIONS.